India and Brazil Forge Critical Minerals Alliance to De-Risk Supply Chains
India and Brazil have signed a landmark agreement to cooperate on critical minerals and rare earths, aiming to reduce dependence on Chinese monopolies. The deal strengthens 'Global South' supply chain resilience amid shifting trade policies and recent tariff pressures from the United States.
Mentioned
Key Intelligence
Key Facts
- 1Deal signed on February 21, 2026, in New Delhi focuses on rare earths and critical minerals.
- 2Brazil is currently India's largest trading partner in Latin America.
- 3Embraer and Adani Group recently partnered for aircraft production in India.
- 4Both nations faced significant US tariffs in 2025, driving closer bilateral ties.
- 5India is on track to become the world's fourth largest economy, driving demand for iron ore and minerals.
Who's Affected
Analysis
The strategic partnership between India and Brazil reached a significant milestone this week with the formalization of a critical minerals and rare earths agreement. As Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva met in New Delhi, the focus was clear: building a supply chain architecture that is resilient to geopolitical shocks and less dependent on Chinese dominance. This move represents a sophisticated layer of procurement strategy for India, which is rapidly scaling its domestic manufacturing capabilities in electronics, electric vehicles, and aerospace.
For the logistics and supply chain sector, this agreement signals the opening of a robust 'Global South' corridor. While India has spent the last two years securing technology transfers and financing from the United States, France, and the European Union, those deals often lack the raw material security that Brazil can provide. Brazil possesses some of the world's largest reserves of rare earth elements and critical minerals necessary for the green energy transition. By aligning with Brazil, India is effectively bypassing the traditional dependency on Chinese processing hubs, which currently control over 80% of the global rare earth market.
By aligning with Brazil, India is effectively bypassing the traditional dependency on Chinese processing hubs, which currently control over 80% of the global rare earth market.
The timing of this alliance is not coincidental. Both nations are emerging from a turbulent 2025, a year marked by aggressive US tariff policies that impacted their respective export sectors. While Washington has recently moved to roll back some duties on Indian goods, the experience has left both New Delhi and Brasília wary of over-reliance on Western markets. This 'trade trauma' has catalyzed a deeper South-South cooperation, where resource-rich nations like Brazil provide the inputs for high-growth industrial hubs like India.
Beyond raw minerals, the partnership is already yielding high-value manufacturing results. The recent announcement by Brazil’s Embraer and India’s Adani Group to collaborate on aircraft manufacturing within India serves as a blueprint for this relationship. It moves the needle from a simple buyer-seller dynamic—where Brazil sells iron ore and crude oil to India—to a sophisticated industrial partnership. For procurement managers, this suggests that the India-Brazil route will increasingly involve complex components and finished goods, not just raw commodities.
Industry experts, including Rishabh Jain of the Council on Energy, Environment and Water, suggest that these alliances are fundamental to shaping emerging rules of global trade. As the world moves toward a more fragmented trade environment, securing on-ground resource access is the ultimate hedge against supply chain disruptions. Logistics providers should anticipate increased shipping volumes between the Port of Santos and Indian hubs like Mundra or Jawaharlal Nehru Port, specifically for specialized mineral transport and aerospace components.
Looking ahead, the success of this deal will depend on the speed of regulatory approvals and the mobilization of capital for mining projects in Brazil. President Lula’s subsequent visit to South Korea suggests that Brazil is on a broader mission to link its mineral wealth with Asia’s manufacturing powerhouses. For India, the challenge will be to build the processing infrastructure quickly enough to turn Brazilian raw materials into the magnets and batteries required for its 'Make in India' initiative. This deal is a clear signal that the future of supply chain resilience lies in diversified, strategic alliances that prioritize resource sovereignty.
Timeline
US Tariff Pressure
Both India and Brazil hit by US tariffs, prompting a shift toward Global South cooperation.
Aerospace Partnership
Embraer and Adani Group announce plans to build aircraft in India.
AI Impact Summit
President Lula addresses AI governance in Delhi before bilateral talks.
Critical Minerals Deal
PM Modi and President Lula sign the agreement to boost rare earth cooperation.