Logistics Neutral 5

Kinder Morgan and CN Raise 2026 Guidance on 11% Revenue Growth and Record Energy & Grain Shipments

Kinder Morgan and Canadian National Railway reported double-digit volume gains in Q2 2026, driven by soaring demand for natural gas, petroleum products, and Western Canadian grain. Both companies raised full-year guidance and delivered operational efficiency records, signaling robust capacity utilization across North American transport infrastructure.

· 4 min read · Verified by 2 sources ·
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Key Takeaways

  • Kinder Morgan and Canadian National Railway reported double-digit volume gains in Q2 2026, driven by soaring demand for natural gas, petroleum products, and Western Canadian grain.
  • Both companies raised full-year guidance and delivered operational efficiency records, signaling robust capacity utilization across North American transport infrastructure.

Mentioned

Kinder Morgan company KMI Canadian National Railway company Richard D. Kinder person Kimberly Dang person Dax Sanders person David Michels person Sital Mody person Tracy Robinson person Pat Whitehead person Janet Drysdale person Ghislain Houle person Jamie Lockwood person KinderHawk product Greater Toronto Area fuel terminal company

Key Intelligence

Key Facts

  1. 1Kinder Morgan Q2 2026 net income rose 21% to $867M, with adjusted EBITDA reaching a record $2.199B and adjusted EPS surging 32% to $0.37.
  2. 2Canadian National Railway reported Q2 revenue of $4.8B (up 11%), adjusted diluted EPS of $2.08 (up 11%), and record fuel efficiency of 0.836 gallons/1,000 GTM.
  3. 3Both companies raised full-year 2026 guidance: KMI now expects adjusted EBITDA at least 5% above the $8.6B budget; CNI raised adjusted EPS outlook to mid-to-high single-digit growth and RTM guidance to low single digits.
  4. 4KMI natural gas gathering volumes jumped 26% YoY, driven by a 54% surge in the Haynesville KinderHawk system; transport volumes grew 7% on strong LNG feed gas and power demand.
  5. 5CNI grain and fertilizers RTMs rose 11% to 18.4B, while petroleum and chemicals RTMs climbed 11% to 11.9B, with a 30% increase in Greater Toronto Area fuel terminal deliveries.
  6. 6KMI improved net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA to 3.6x from 3.8x budgeted, while CNI delivered $1.8B in H1 free cash flow, a 19% increase, and achieved 9% higher labor productivity with 5% lower headcount.
Metric
Key Volume Growth Natural gas transport +7%, gathering +26% RTMs +5%, grain +11%, petroleum +11%
Revenue Growth Adj. EBITDA +12% to $2.2B Revenue +11% to $4.8B
Efficiency Record Net debt/EBITDA improved to 3.6x Fuel efficiency -3%, labor productivity +9%
Full-Year Outlook Adj. EBITDA at least 5% above $8.6B budget EPS mid-to-high single-digit growth, RTM low single-digit
KMI Natural Gas Gathering Volume Surge
26% KinderHawk up 54%

Haynesville production drives pipeline and LNG demand

Who's Affected

LNG Export Facilities
facilityPositive
Western Canadian Farmers
industryPositive
Upstream Producers (Haynesville)
industryPositive

Analysis

For supply chain professionals, the Q2 2026 results from Kinder Morgan and CN are a clear signal that critical infrastructure is running at full throttle. Surging LNG feed gas, Haynesville shale output, and bumper grain harvests are straining and rewarding pipeline and rail networks alike. The question now is whether capacity expansions can keep pace with demand, and what this means for shippers negotiating rates and securing long-term capacity.

Kinder Morgan (KMI) and Canadian National Railway (CNI) delivered blockbuster second-quarter 2026 results, powered by surging demand for grain and energy transportation. Both companies reported double-digit earnings growth, raised full-year guidance, and demonstrated operational efficiency gains that are reshaping the midstream and rail logistics landscape.

Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to at least 5% above the original $8.6 billion budget, implying at least $9.03 billion, and adjusted EPS guidance to more than 12% above the $1.36 budget, signaling at least $1.52 per share.

Kinder Morgan, a pillar of North American energy infrastructure, reported net income of $867 million, a 21% jump year over year, as all business segments contributed. Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.199 billion—an all-time Q2 record—reflecting higher volumes across natural gas transport, gathering, and terminal operations. Natural gas transport volumes climbed 7% to nearly 48 trillion Btu per day, driven by increased feed gas deliveries to LNG export facilities and rising power generation demand. Gathering volumes soared 26% overall, with the Haynesville-focused KinderHawk system rocketing 54%. Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to at least 5% above the original $8.6 billion budget, implying at least $9.03 billion, and adjusted EPS guidance to more than 12% above the $1.36 budget, signaling at least $1.52 per share. The company’s financial health strengthened with net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA improving to 3.6x from a budgeted 3.8x, even amid ongoing capital spending on a $9.6 billion backlog of projects.

Meanwhile, Canadian National Railway capitalized on record Western Canadian grain movements and robust refined petroleum product shipments into Ontario. Revenue rose 11% to $4.8 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS hit $2.08, up 11% (12% in constant currency). Revenue ton miles expanded 5% to 62.3 billion, with grain and fertilizers volumes up 11% and petroleum and chemicals up 11%, the latter propelled by a 30% surge in shipments to the Greater Toronto Area fuel terminal. Despite a slight uptick in the adjusted operating ratio to 62.2% (50 basis points, driven by higher fuel prices), CNI notched a record fuel efficiency of 0.836 gallons per 1,000 gross ton miles, a 3% improvement. Labor productivity soared 9% as the company handled 5% higher volumes with a 5% reduction in average headcount. The railway raised its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to mid-to-high single-digit growth and revised RTM guidance from flattish to low single-digit growth, reflecting confidence in sustained agricultural and energy demand.

What to Watch

The earnings reports underscore a broader trend: North American infrastructure companies are thriving as global markets pull on North American energy and agricultural abundance. For Kinder Morgan, the rise in LNG feed gas volumes signals a structural shift tied to U.S. export capacity expansions and geopolitical demand for secure energy sources. Natural gas gathering growth, particularly in the Haynesville, points to sustained upstream activity. Meanwhile, CNI’s grain records reflect bumper Canadian harvests and strong export demand, while petroleum product movements are buoyed by regional refining dynamics. Both companies are converting volume gains into significant free cash flow—CNI generated $1.8 billion in the first half, a 19% increase, while KMI’s improved leverage and project returns suggest ample capacity for shareholder returns and organic investment.

Risk factors include commodity price exposure, potential trade policy shifts, and the perennial challenge of managing capital projects on budget. However, the guidance raises and backlog composition—KMI’s remaining $8.5 billion in non-CO2, non-gathering projects is expected to deliver a 5.6x first-year EBITDA multiple—demonstrate disciplined growth strategies. For logistics and supply chain stakeholders, these results affirm that critical transportation infrastructure remains a tight and necessary link in global trade. Energy transition watchers will note that natural gas pipeline and rail transport of fuel remain central to both energy security and decarbonization pathways. Investors, meanwhile, see a clear trajectory for sustained earnings growth and potential dividend increases. As second-half 2026 unfolds, the resilience of these infrastructure titans will likely be tested by seasonal patterns and macro uncertainty, but their latest numbers leave little doubt about their operational momentum.

Timeline

Timeline

  1. Kinder Morgan Q2 2026 Earnings Call

  2. Canadian National Railway Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Sources

Sources

Based on 2 source articles

Cite This Page

"Kinder Morgan and CN Raise 2026 Guidance on 11% Revenue Growth and Record Energy & Grain Shipments." Supply Chain Intelligence Brief, July 25, 2026. https://getsupplybrief.com/story/kmi-cni-q2-2026-supply-chain

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